Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.174434 0.187552 0.201367 0.217030 0.234338 0.252922 0.274447
2025-12-28 0.153073 0.172258 0.193720 0.219663 0.250379 0.285847 0.330274
2026-01-04 0.139361 0.161965 0.188370 0.221828 0.263569 0.314573 0.382630
2026-01-11 0.128544 0.153146 0.182874 0.221974 0.272866 0.338044 0.429833
2026-01-18 0.118157 0.143547 0.175058 0.217771 0.275331 0.352002 0.465078
2026-01-25 0.108869 0.134406 0.166807 0.211849 0.274371 0.360530 0.492882
2026-02-01 0.101828 0.127540 0.160824 0.208173 0.275719 0.371823 0.525318
2026-02-08 0.095391 0.120981 0.154688 0.203622 0.275148 0.379887 0.553262
2026-02-15 0.090195 0.115724 0.149898 0.200465 0.276107 0.389979 0.585169
2026-02-22 0.087357 0.113468 0.149031 0.202742 0.285131 0.412997 0.640919
2026-03-01 0.083727 0.109885 0.146035 0.201597 0.288690 0.427500 0.683676
2026-03-08 0.079987 0.105935 0.142261 0.198968 0.289600 0.437579 0.719555
2026-03-15 0.075739 0.101152 0.137153 0.194172 0.286975 0.442002 0.746619
2026-03-22 0.074212 0.100219 0.137651 0.198097 0.298938 0.472756 0.829252
2026-03-29 0.072326 0.098650 0.137084 0.200250 0.308045 0.499350 0.907983
2026-04-05 0.070083 0.096431 0.135385 0.200418 0.313675 0.520064 0.977766
2026-04-12 0.067078 0.092926 0.131520 0.196749 0.312190 0.527066 1.018348
2026-04-19 0.063925 0.089067 0.126920 0.191566 0.307560 0.527438 1.043708
2026-04-26 0.061426 0.086109 0.123598 0.188345 0.306251 0.534230 1.085416
2026-05-03 0.058913 0.083032 0.119952 0.184354 0.303196 0.537133 1.118060
2026-05-10 0.056815 0.080521 0.117105 0.181584 0.302229 0.544244 1.162641
2026-05-17 0.055839 0.079726 0.116989 0.183582 0.310542 0.571869 1.266566
2026-05-24 0.054306 0.077989 0.115250 0.182577 0.312871 0.586691 1.338600